Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000180 0.000199 0.000220 0.000243 0.000270 0.000298 0.000332
2025-09-28 0.000139 0.000165 0.000196 0.000234 0.000281 0.000337 0.000409
2025-10-05 0.000120 0.000150 0.000188 0.000239 0.000305 0.000390 0.000507
2025-10-12 0.000106 0.000139 0.000182 0.000243 0.000326 0.000439 0.000605
2025-10-19 0.000094 0.000128 0.000174 0.000241 0.000338 0.000476 0.000690
2025-10-26 0.000086 0.000121 0.000170 0.000243 0.000355 0.000521 0.000792
2025-11-02 0.000078 0.000113 0.000162 0.000240 0.000363 0.000552 0.000877
2025-11-09 0.000072 0.000106 0.000157 0.000239 0.000373 0.000588 0.000971
2025-11-16 0.000066 0.000099 0.000150 0.000235 0.000377 0.000614 0.001053
2025-11-23 0.000060 0.000092 0.000143 0.000229 0.000378 0.000633 0.001125
2025-11-30 0.000057 0.000089 0.000141 0.000233 0.000395 0.000683 0.001259
2025-12-07 0.000054 0.000086 0.000139 0.000235 0.000409 0.000729 0.001392
2025-12-14 0.000050 0.000081 0.000133 0.000229 0.000411 0.000753 0.001490
2025-12-21 0.000045 0.000075 0.000126 0.000221 0.000406 0.000766 0.001570
2025-12-28 0.000043 0.000073 0.000125 0.000226 0.000426 0.000831 0.001770
2026-01-04 0.000041 0.000071 0.000124 0.000229 0.000445 0.000895 0.001981
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000068 0.000120 0.000228 0.000453 0.000937 0.002150
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000230 0.000470 0.001000 0.002380
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000227 0.000474 0.001037 0.002551
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000060 0.000113 0.000226 0.000483 0.001083 0.002756
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000057 0.000109 0.000222 0.000484 0.001113 0.002922
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000217 0.000481 0.001132 0.003062
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000053 0.000104 0.000220 0.000501 0.001210 0.003389